Dump Bush —
2004 Electoral Vote Projection

Kerry Wins! (Maybe, as of 3/12/04)

 
BUSH
KERRY
states votes states votes
base
20
168
14
196
tilt
8
84
9
90
total
28
252
23
286

Don't take this for granted -- just see the hope. Let's all work to resoundingly defeat Bush -- don't give up any states to Duhbya!

"This country with its institutions belongs to the people who inhabit it. Whenever they shall grow weary of the existing government they can exercise their democratic right to alter or amend it or their revolutionary right to dismember or overthrow it."
- Abraham Lincoln in his First Inaugural Address

2004 Projected Electoral Map

Red states = Bush base
Red stripes = Bush tilt
Blue states = Kerry base
Blue stripes = Kerry tilt

Details

 
BUSH
KERRY
state base tilt base tilt
Alabama 9      
Alaska 3      
Arizona   10    
Arkansas   6    
California     55  
Colorado 9      
Connecticut     7  
DC     3  
Delaware     3  
Florida       27
Georgia 15      
Hawaii     4  
Idaho 4      
Illinois     21  
Indiana   11    
Iowa       7
Kansas 6      
Kentucky 8      
Louisiana 9      
Maine       4
Maryland     10  
Massachusetts     12  
Michigan     17  
Minnesota   10    
Mississippi 6      
Missouri   11    
Montana 3      
N. Carolina 15      
N. Dakota 3      
Nebraska 5      
Nevada   5    
New Hampshire       4
New Jersey     15  
New Mexico       5
New York     31  
Ohio   20    
Oklahoma 7      
Oregon       7
Pennsylvania       21
Rhode Island     4  
S. Carolina 8      
S. Dakota 3      
Tennessee   11    
Texas 34      
Utah 5      
Vermont     3  
Virginia 13      
W. Virginia       5
Washington     11  
Wisconsin       10
Wyoming 3      
Base + Tilt 252   286  
Required 270   270  
  -18   16  

This data appeared on the McLaughlin Group on Friday, 3/12/04.

"[P]rofessional Democrats now think Bush and the Republicans are screwing up and calculate that there is a real chance that the Lone Star Ranger may end up a one-term president like his father." Richard Reeves, Where Did All These Democrats Come From?, January 8, 2003 http://www.richardreeves.com/